SAT Math Lesson Plan 14: Advanced Probability and Expected Value

Lesson 14 in this SAT Math Prep series explores advanced probability and expected value—topics that account for approximately 5–7% of SAT Math questions. Students will learn how to interpret discrete probability distributions, calculate expected values, and apply these concepts to real-world contexts such as financial risk, fairness in games, and strategic decision-making. This 45-minute lesson includes a Warm-Up activity, six fully worked-out instructional examples, a Review section with practice problems, and a 10-question multiple-choice quiz with a detailed answer key. Concepts such as weighted averages, compound events, and conditional reasoning are covered in depth. This lesson aligns with Common Core standards and builds statistical reasoning skills that are critical to success on the SAT and beyond.

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